{"id":164620,"date":"2025-07-31T11:00:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-31T08:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=164620"},"modified":"2025-07-31T10:54:22","modified_gmt":"2025-07-31T07:54:22","slug":"bitcoin-breakouts-linked-to-low-risk-fed-periods","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/bitcoin-breakouts-linked-to-low-risk-fed-periods\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Breakouts Linked to Low-Risk Fed Periods"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>According to a new chart shared by Swissblock, Bitcoin\u2019s cleanest rallies have historically followed the start of quantitative easing (QE)\u2014and the next similar opportunity may be on the horizon.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-164621\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/GxI6ll4bUAAMRpa.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" srcset=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/GxI6ll4bUAAMRpa.jpeg 1200w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/GxI6ll4bUAAMRpa-300x169.jpeg 300w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/GxI6ll4bUAAMRpa-1024x576.jpeg 1024w, https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/07\/GxI6ll4bUAAMRpa-768x432.jpeg 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1200px) 100vw, 1200px\"><\/p>\n<p>The chart combines Bitcoin\u2019s price with risk-off signals and a risk oscillator, highlighting how low-risk zones often precede breakouts, while high-risk periods tend to coincide with consolidation or drawdowns.<\/p>\n<p>Swissblock\u2019s analysis identifies a recurring pattern: the most sustained Bitcoin upside emerged immediately after QE was introduced. A similar breakout occurred after the March 2024 FOMC meeting when the risk oscillator flipped positive, aligning with a low-risk environment. Conversely, periods flagged as high-risk\u2014particularly during hawkish Fed commentary or QE withdrawal\u2014coincided with Bitcoin corrections or sideways movement.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-163306\" href=\"\" title=\"\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\"><\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>The message is clear: macro liquidity leads crypto price action, and traders should watch for signals that QE could resume. \u201cWhen QE restarts again\u2014expect the same setup,\u201d Swissblock noted, reinforcing the idea that policy shifts can quickly change the market\u2019s risk regime.<\/p>\n<p>As Bitcoin hovers above $120K, investors are paying closer attention to the Federal Reserve\u2019s next move. If dovish policy returns and liquidity expands, on-chain risk indicators may once again flip bullish\u2014mirroring the macro-driven rallies of past cycles.<\/p>\n<p>Until then, tracking macro flows and risk levels may offer the best guide to timing entries in an increasingly Fed-sensitive market.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>FOMC meetings may trigger market volatility, but they also mark key turning points in broader macro cycles.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":25896,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[72,424,243,108],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-164620","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-crypto","tag-federal-reserve","tag-price"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is 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