{"id":162054,"date":"2025-07-08T15:00:47","date_gmt":"2025-07-08T12:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=162054"},"modified":"2025-07-08T12:46:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T09:46:58","slug":"why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/here-why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs\/","title":{"rendered":"Here is Why the Fed May Cut Rates Earlier Than Expected, According to Goldman Sachs"},"content":{"rendered":"

This marks a shift from the firm\u2019s earlier projection of a December timeline, driven by signs of easing inflation and the milder-than-expected impact of tariff policies.<\/p>\n

The revised<\/a><\/strong> outlook suggests that the central bank\u2019s terminal interest rate could settle between 3.00% and 3.25%, down from the earlier estimate of 3.50% to 3.75%. According to Goldman Sachs, a range of disinflationary forces\u2014including softer wage growth, weaker consumer demand in travel, and declining inflation expectations\u2014support this adjustment. Tariffs on Chinese goods, once feared to stoke consumer prices, have had a muted effect, further reinforcing the case for earlier monetary easing.<\/p>\n

Disinflation Trends and Labor Market Cooling<\/h2>\n

Chief U.S. Economist David Mericle noted that the probability of a rate cut in September is now \u201ca little over 50%.\u201d He and his team project five cuts of 25 basis points spread across September, October, and December of this year, followed by additional reductions in March and June 2026. However, a July cut is considered unlikely.<\/p>