{"id":162054,"date":"2025-07-08T15:00:47","date_gmt":"2025-07-08T12:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=162054"},"modified":"2025-07-08T12:46:58","modified_gmt":"2025-07-08T09:46:58","slug":"why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/here-why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected-according-to-goldman-sachs\/","title":{"rendered":"Here is Why the Fed May Cut Rates Earlier Than Expected, According to Goldman Sachs"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>This marks a shift from the firm\u2019s earlier projection of a December timeline, driven by signs of easing inflation and the milder-than-expected impact of tariff policies.<\/p>\n<p>The <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/www.goldmansachs.com\/insights\/articles\/why-the-fed-may-cut-rates-earlier-than-expected\" rel=\"nofollow\">revised<\/a><\/strong> outlook suggests that the central bank\u2019s terminal interest rate could settle between 3.00% and 3.25%, down from the earlier estimate of 3.50% to 3.75%. According to Goldman Sachs, a range of disinflationary forces\u2014including softer wage growth, weaker consumer demand in travel, and declining inflation expectations\u2014support this adjustment. Tariffs on Chinese goods, once feared to stoke consumer prices, have had a muted effect, further reinforcing the case for earlier monetary easing.<\/p>\n<h2>Disinflation Trends and Labor Market Cooling<\/h2>\n<p>Chief U.S. Economist David Mericle noted that the probability of a rate cut in September is now \u201ca little over 50%.\u201d He and his team project five cuts of 25 basis points spread across September, October, and December of this year, followed by additional reductions in March and June 2026. However, a July cut is considered unlikely.<\/p>\n<p>The report also flagged subtle signs of weakening in the labor market. While employment figures remain relatively strong, indicators suggest that it has become harder for job seekers to secure positions. Seasonal factors and recent shifts in immigration policy may also pose short-term downside risks for employment trends.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-162046\" href=\"\" title=\"\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\"><\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<h2>Policy Flexibility and Future Outlook<\/h2>\n<p>Goldman Sachs emphasized that its downward revision of the terminal rate isn\u2019t rooted in a re-evaluation of the long-term neutral interest rate, but rather reflects current market conditions and policymakers\u2019 interpretations. Mericle acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding the true neutral rate, suggesting that the Fed may keep its rate path flexible as economic data evolve.<\/p>\n<p>This updated forecast positions Goldman Sachs at the forefront of market expectations, suggesting that monetary easing could begin well before year-end\u2014potentially reshaping both equity and fixed-income market strategies in the months ahead.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates sooner than previously anticipated, forecasting the first reduction as early as September 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":7,"featured_media":37492,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-162054","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-others"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Here is Why the Fed May Cut Rates Earlier Than Expected, According to Goldman Sachs - CryptoDnes EN<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Goldman Sachs now expects the Federal Reserve to begin cutting interest rates sooner than previously anticipated...\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" 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