{"id":160954,"date":"2025-06-26T11:00:39","date_gmt":"2025-06-26T08:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=160954"},"modified":"2025-06-25T15:01:28","modified_gmt":"2025-06-25T12:01:28","slug":"bitcoins-price-closely-mirrors-etf-inflows-not-corporate-buys","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/bitcoins-price-closely-mirrors-etf-inflows-not-corporate-buys\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin\u2019s Price Closely Mirrors ETF Inflows, Not Corporate Buys"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>K33\u2019s Vetle Lunde <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/k33.com\/research\/articles\/aggressive-deleveraging\" rel=\"nofollow\">reports<\/a><\/strong> that spot Bitcoin ETF inflows maintain a tight link to price action, with a strong statistical correlation showing that these funds explain around 80% of the variance in 30-day BTC returns. Over the past month, however, ETF inflows have cooled \u2014 with just 13,000 BTC added \u2014 and prices have reflected that slowdown.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, the surge in Bitcoin treasury adoption isn\u2019t having the same impact. Dozens of new public companies have jumped into the Bitcoin space in recent months, but many aren\u2019t buying BTC on the open market. Instead, firms like Softbank-backed Twenty One are building large holdings via share-for-crypto swaps with existing whales like Tether and Bitfinex. These deals, which generate no fresh demand, have diluted the market effect of treasury accumulation. The correlation between these flows and price sits at a modest 0.18.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-160870\" href=\"\" title=\"\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\"><\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Beyond flows, macro events are also shaping Bitcoin\u2019s volatility. Tensions between the U.S. and Iran sent BTC tumbling to $98,200 last week, with a rapid bounce back to $105,000 as ceasefire hopes surfaced. The geopolitical scare triggered the sharpest single-day wipeout in perpetual futures open interest since last August, with traders offloading over 17,000 BTC in leveraged positions.<\/p>\n<p>That risk-off behavior has dragged open interest to levels last seen in April, suggesting traders are scaling back. With Trump\u2019s budget negotiations and tariff deadlines approaching, the market may not calm down anytime soon.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While Bitcoin\u2019s recent stagnation has triggered debate over what\u2019s really influencing the market, analysts at K33 Research say exchange-traded fund flows are still the dominant force \u2014 far more so than the activity from corporate treasuries.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":22242,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[27],"tags":[72,424,294,108,76,122,248],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-160954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-bitcoin","tag-bitcoin","tag-crypto","tag-etf","tag-price","tag-scaling","tag-trump","tag-whales"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is 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Price Closely Mirrors ETF Inflows, Not Corporate Buys","isPartOf":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/#website"},"primaryImageOfPage":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/bitcoins-price-closely-mirrors-etf-inflows-not-corporate-buys\/#primaryimage"},"image":{"@id":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/bitcoins-price-closely-mirrors-etf-inflows-not-corporate-buys\/#primaryimage"},"thumbnailUrl":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/Bitcoin-9.jpg","datePublished":"2025-06-26T08:00:39+00:00","description":"While Bitcoin\u2019s recent stagnation has triggered debate over what\u2019s really influencing the market, analysts at K33 Research say exchange-traded fund flows are still the dominant force \u2014 far more so than the activity from corporate 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