{"id":160680,"date":"2025-06-22T12:00:47","date_gmt":"2025-06-22T09:00:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=160680"},"modified":"2025-06-22T00:51:58","modified_gmt":"2025-06-21T21:51:58","slug":"cardano-etf-approval-odds-hit-record-high-on-polymarket","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/cardano-etf-approval-odds-hit-record-high-on-polymarket\/","title":{"rendered":"Cardano ETF Approval Odds Hit Record High on Polymarket"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>On prediction platform Polymarket, contracts that pay out if the Securities and Exchange Commission signs off on a spot ADA fund before the end of 2025 traded Friday at an implied 79 percent probability\u2014the highest reading since the market opened. The surge in conviction caps a steady climb from roughly 60 percent in early spring and reflects wider optimism that the SEC, under its new chairman Paul Atkins, is finally ready to bless a broader range of crypto products.<\/p>\n<p>Behind the shift is a flurry of back-channel meetings between regulators and heavyweight asset managers. According to Bloomberg ETF specialists Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, the tone of those discussions has been \u201cremarkably constructive,\u201d prompting the pair to raise their own odds for approvals on a basket of alt-coin funds\u2014including Cardano, XRP and Dogecoin\u2014to ninety percent. Fund sponsors argue that a regulated vehicle would give institutions an easy way to gain exposure without the headaches of self-custody, and the SEC appears increasingly receptive.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-160532\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/solaxy-set-to-launch-as-solanas-first-layer-2-after-raising-56-million-best-crypto-to-buy\/\" title=\"Solaxy Set to Launch as Solana\u2019s First Layer 2 After Raising $56 Million: Best Crypto to Buy?\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2025\/06\/Screenshot-2025-06-20-at-1.16.18-240x170.png\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\">Solaxy Set to Launch as Solana\u2019s First Layer 2 After Raising $56 Million: Best Crypto to Buy?<\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Yet enthusiasm on futures markets has not translated into short-term price gains. ADA has logged five consecutive down sessions, slipping a little more than one percent on the week as a broader risk-off mood\u2014sparked in part by Middle-East tensions\u2014triggered nearly a billion dollars in crypto-asset liquidations. On-chain data from Santiment show that large holders moved in and out of 230 million ADA within a 48-hour window, a round-trip that underscores lingering uncertainty even among whales.<\/p>\n<p>For long-term bulls, though, the near-term volatility matters less than the structural shift underway in Washington. If the SEC does green-light a spot Cardano fund, it will mark the agency\u2019s most significant sign-off since the approval of Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs\u2014and could open the floodgates to a new wave of institutional demand. Until then, prediction markets will remain the arena where optimism prices itself in real time.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A growing chorus of traders now believes that a U.S.-listed Cardano ETF is becoming more a matter of \u201cwhen\u201d than \u201cif.\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":50658,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[24],"tags":[72,112,424,109,294,271,384,108,248,223],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-160680","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-altcoins","tag-bitcoin","tag-cardano","tag-crypto","tag-dogecoin","tag-etf","tag-ethereum","tag-optimism","tag-price","tag-whales","tag-xrp"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - 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