{"id":159382,"date":"2025-06-09T09:00:17","date_gmt":"2025-06-09T06:00:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=159382"},"modified":"2025-06-09T00:33:08","modified_gmt":"2025-06-08T21:33:08","slug":"recession-odds-still-high-if-trump-doesnt-reverse-course-analyst-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/recession-odds-still-high-if-trump-doesnt-reverse-course-analyst-warns\/","title":{"rendered":"Recession Odds Still High if Trump Doesn\u2019t Reverse Course, Analyst Warns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In his latest market <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/PeterBerezinBCA\/status\/1931031352968692149\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow\">outlook<\/a><\/strong>, Berezin said the economy remains fragile\u2014and avoiding a recession may depend more on political choices than economic fundamentals.<\/p>\n<p>He argues that a less protectionist stance, particularly from Donald Trump if he returns to office, could help ease pressure on growth. Loosening tariffs, combined with continued complacency in bond markets over rising deficits, might delay or prevent a downturn\u2014but Berezin doubts that scenario will play out cleanly.<\/p>\n<p>The strategist\u2019s warning came days after the U.S. reported stronger-than-expected May job growth, with 139,000 positions added and unemployment steady at 4.2%.<\/p>\n<style>\n    .dark-mode .read-more {background-color: #343a40 !important;}\n<\/style>\n<div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1 d-none d-md-block\">READ MORE:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/eu-eyes-defi-rules-without-defining-what-it-is\/\" title=\"EU Eyes DeFi Rules Without Defining What It Is\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img decoding=\"async\" class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2024\/07\/pexels-eu-europe-253311_1280-240x170.jpg\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\">EU Eyes DeFi Rules Without Defining What It Is<\/h4>           \n            \n        <\/div>        \n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<p>However, Berezin sees concerning similarities to past pre-recession periods, pointing to a softening in consumer confidence and persistent signs of financial strain across credit cards, auto loans, and commercial real estate.<\/p>\n<p>He maintains that the economy remains vulnerable and that a single shock\u2014economic or political\u2014could set off a negative chain reaction.<\/p>\n<p>Though recent progress in U.S.-China trade relations has slightly lowered recession odds, Berezin believes the danger hasn\u2019t passed and that structural risks continue to mount beneath the surface.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Despite solid employment data and improving trade sentiment, BCA Research\u2019s Peter Berezin isn\u2019t convinced the U.S. is in the clear.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":81917,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-159382","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v24.8.1 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Recession Odds Still High if Trump Doesn\u2019t Reverse Course, Analyst Warns<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Despite solid employment data and improving trade sentiment, BCA Research\u2019s Peter Berezin isn\u2019t convinced the 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