{"id":132715,"date":"2024-07-09T13:30:59","date_gmt":"2024-07-09T10:30:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/?p=132715"},"modified":"2024-07-16T14:10:58","modified_gmt":"2024-07-16T11:10:58","slug":"us-economy-faces-potential-recession-as-federal-reserve-rate-decisions-loom","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/us-economy-faces-potential-recession-as-federal-reserve-rate-decisions-loom\/","title":{"rendered":"US Economy Faces Potential Recession as Federal Reserve Rate Decisions Loom"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The analysis by Global Markets Investor on July 7 emphasized the link between the Federal Reserve\u2019s rate hikes and the onset of recessions.<\/p>\n<p>The data shows that the US is now approaching a year since the last rate hike in July 2023, and historical patterns suggest that a recession might soon follow.<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\">\n<p dir=\"ltr\" lang=\"en\">RECESSION IN THE US USUALLY COMES WITHIN 18 MONTHS FROM THE LAST FED RATE HIKE:<\/p>\n<p>It has been now 12 months since the last Fed hike in July 2023.<\/p>\n<p>If history is any guide, the US economy should fall into a recession before the end of 2024 or is already in. <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/w1EJSMSH5H\" rel=\"nofollow\">pic.twitter.com\/w1EJSMSH5H<\/a><\/p>\n<p>\u2014 Global Markets Investor (@GlobalMktObserv) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/GlobalMktObserv\/status\/1809973147283964041?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\" rel=\"nofollow\">July 7, 2024<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The research highlighted the typical delay between the final rate hike and the start of a recession. For example, past recessions have followed the last rate hike with delays ranging from one to 18 months. Given it has been 12 months since the most recent hike, this analysis suggests that the US might experience a recession before the end of 2024 or may already be in one.<\/p>\n<p><div class=\"read-more pb-3 pt-3 pt-md-2 px-3 my-4 border bg-light\">\n    <h5 class=\"text-uppercase border-bottom mb-3 pb-1\">Read More:<\/h5>\n    <a class=\"article row post-132680\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/us-national-debt-poses-an-economic-threat\/\" title=\"US National Debt Poses an Economic Threat\">\n        <div class=\"contentRight col-4\">\n            <span class=\"imgContainer mt-0\">\n                <img class=\"image img-defer\" src=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2022\/07\/USA-DAO-e1690446162604-240x170.jpg\">\n            <\/span>\n        <\/div>\n        <div class=\"contentLeft col-8\">\n            <h4 class=\"title mb-0\">US National Debt Poses an Economic Threat<\/h4>\n        <\/div>\n    <\/a>\n<\/div>\n<\/p>\n<p>Supporting this, Alpha Oracle\u2019s <strong><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/TheAlphaOracle\/status\/1810184785966330068\" rel=\"nofollow\">analysis<\/a><\/strong> on July 8 used data from the Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED) to show that recessions often occur when rates begin to decline. This pattern suggests that the Federal Reserve usually cuts rates when an economic slowdown is perceived.<\/p>\n<p>However, the current Federal Reserve appears to be waiting until the economy is on the brink of a recession before reducing rates. This cautious approach aims to balance controlling inflation and avoiding premature easing that might harm economic stability.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As the US economy awaits the Federal Reserve&#8217;s next interest rate decisions, historical trends hint that these policies could indicate the timing of an upcoming recession.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":83744,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[60],"tags":[243],"coin_category":[],"class_list":["post-132715","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-economy","tag-federal-reserve"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>US Economy Faces Potential Recession as Federal 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property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-09T10:30:59+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-16T11:10:58+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/en\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/2\/2023\/07\/usa-flag-broken.webp\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"630\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/webp\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"Alexander Stefanov\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@https:\/\/x.com\/UoyhIpJ0QUV6uYL\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Written by\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"Alexander Stefanov\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"2 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" 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