Arthur Hayes Sees Trouble Ahead for Bitcoin as Global Tensions Rise

BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes is warning traders to prepare for rough waters ahead, as global markets brace for another round of economic tension.

With Donald Trump expected to reintroduce unilateral tariffs in the coming weeks, Hayes believes this policy shift could spark renewed volatility in crypto.

Bitcoin’s recent momentum stalled just below $110,000, despite positive headlines like the U.S.-China trade breakthrough and a softer-than-expected inflation print. Neither development managed to ignite the bullish push needed for a breakout, suggesting broader uncertainty still weighs heavily on risk assets.

Hayes, writing on X, advised market participants not to panic but remain alert, citing macro headwinds including the potential tariff wave and stagnant Fed policy. While he has previously argued the U.S. central bank would need to shift back to monetary easing, the latest inflation data has dampened hopes for imminent rate cuts.

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Trump’s renewed tariff rhetoric has already spooked traditional markets. Equity futures have dipped in both the U.S. and Europe, the dollar weakened, and investors are rotating into safe havens like gold and treasuries. Behind the scenes, Trump’s team is also said to be pursuing bilateral trade deals with countries like India and Japan—moves that could further reshape global trade dynamics.

With economic policy in flux and Bitcoin stuck below key resistance, the market’s next moves may hinge less on technicals and more on geopolitics. Hayes’s message? Stay grounded—because things could get choppy fast.

Alexander Stefanov

With over 8 years of experience in the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry, Alexander is a seasoned content creator and market analyst dedicated to making digital assets more accessible and understandable. He specializes in breaking down complex crypto trends, analyzing market movements, and producing insightful content aimed at educating both newcomers and seasoned investors. Alexander has built a reputation for delivering timely and accurate analysis, while keeping a close eye on regulatory developments, emerging technologies, and macroeconomic trends that shape the future of digital finance. His work is rooted in a passion for innovation and a firm belief that widespread education is key to accelerating global crypto adoption.