{"id":9949,"date":"2025-12-25T08:15:23","date_gmt":"2025-12-25T06:15:23","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/cz\/?p=9949"},"modified":"2025-12-23T13:25:49","modified_gmt":"2025-12-23T11:25:49","slug":"bitcoin-na-pokraji-rustove-exploze-sazky-na-rust-sili-trh-prehriva-paka-a-expirace-opci-za-miliardy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/cz\/bitcoin-na-pokraji-rustove-exploze-sazky-na-rust-sili-trh-prehriva-paka-a-expirace-opci-za-miliardy\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin na pokraji r\u016fstov\u00e9 exploze? S\u00e1zky na r\u016fst s\u00edl\u00ed, trh p\u0159eh\u0159\u00edv\u00e1 p\u00e1ka a expirace opc\u00ed za miliardy!"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin op\u011bt za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nap\u011bt\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mohlo p\u0159er\u016fst v explozi \u2013 p\u0159es 310 000 BTC v otev\u0159en\u00fdch futures pozic\u00edch<\/strong> a prudce rostouc\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed deriv\u00e1t\u016f nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee trh se p\u0159ipravuje na agresivn\u00ed pohyb do konce roku<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Trh s deriv\u00e1ty v\u0159e: Perpetu\u00e1ln\u00ed kontrakty rostou, n\u00e1klady financov\u00e1n\u00ed zdvojn\u00e1sobeny<\/h3>\n

Podle Glassnode vzrostl perpetual open interest (OI) z 304 000 BTC na 310 000 BTC<\/a><\/strong>, co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje masivn\u00ed nasazen\u00ed kapit\u00e1lu do dlouh\u00fdch pozic. Sou\u010dasn\u011b se funding rate \u2013 tedy poplatek za dr\u017een\u00ed long\u016f \u2013 zdvojn\u00e1sobil z 0,04 % na 0,09 %<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

\"N\u00e1klady
N\u00e1klady financov\u00e1n\u00ed u futures kontrakt\u016f na trhu s bitcoinem. Zdroj: glassnode<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tato kombinace jasn\u011b ukazuje: p\u0159ib\u00fdv\u00e1 p\u00e1kov\u00fdch long\u016f<\/strong>, kter\u00e9 spekuluj\u00ed na z\u00e1v\u011bre\u010dn\u00fd r\u016fst Bitcoinu do konce roku. Jen\u017ee \u010d\u00edm vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed p\u00e1ka, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed riziko p\u0159eh\u0159\u00e1t\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Bitcoin se odrazil od 90 000 USD, ale korekce ho st\u00e1hla na 88 200 USD<\/h3>\n

Navzdory b\u00fd\u010d\u00edm sign\u00e1l\u016fm z deriv\u00e1tov\u00e9ho trhu Bitcoin zat\u00edm nedok\u00e1zal stabiln\u011b prorazit hranici 90 000 USD<\/strong>, a po kr\u00e1tk\u00e9m v\u00fdpadu se vr\u00e1til zp\u011bt k 88 200 USD. To je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fd varovn\u00fd sign\u00e1l: euforie se m\u016f\u017ee snadno zm\u011bnit v paniku, pokud dojde ke \u201esqueeze\u201c na p\u0159ep\u00e1kovan\u00e9m trhu.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Masivn\u00ed expirace opc\u00ed za 23 miliard USD p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 na riziku<\/h3>\n

V p\u00e1tek 26. prosince dojde k jedn\u00e9 z nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edch expirac\u00ed opc\u00ed v historii krypta \u2013 v\u00edce ne\u017e 23 miliard USD v nomin\u00e1ln\u00ed hodnot\u011b kontrakt\u016f na Bitcoin vypr\u0161\u00ed.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e9 \u00fadaje:<\/p>\n

    \n
  • \n

    Longy (calls)<\/strong> se koncentruj\u00ed u strike cen 100 000 a 120 000 USD<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Shorty (puts)<\/strong> se seskupuj\u00ed kolem 85 000 USD<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    Put\/call pom\u011br je 0,37<\/strong> \u2013 v\u00fdrazn\u00e1 p\u0159evaha b\u00fd\u010d\u00edch s\u00e1zek<\/p>\n<\/li>\n

  • \n

    \u201eMax pain\u201c cena je 96 000 USD<\/strong>, kde by zaniklo nejv\u00edce hodnoty<\/p>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n

    Znamen\u00e1 to jedin\u00e9: trh masivn\u011b s\u00e1z\u00ed na r\u016fst<\/strong>, ale pokud se Bitcoin k 96 000 USD nep\u0159ibl\u00ed\u017e\u00ed, m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k rozs\u00e1hl\u00fdm ztr\u00e1t\u00e1m na call opc\u00edch \u2013 a siln\u00e9 likvidaci long\u016f.<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \"Na
    Na bitcoinu expiruj\u00ed opce za 23 miliard USD<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

    Shrnut\u00ed: Trh balancuje mezi exploz\u00ed a imploz\u00ed<\/h3>\n
      \n
    • Otev\u0159en\u00fd z\u00e1jem na futures roste \u2013 d\u016fkaz d\u016fv\u011bry v dal\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst<\/li>\n
    • Financov\u00e1n\u00ed long\u016f dosahuje vrcholu \u2013 trh plat\u00ed za b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed expozici<\/li>\n
    • Masivn\u00ed op\u010dn\u00ed expirace p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed volatilitu \u2013 a mo\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed<\/li>\n
    • C\u00edle jsou vysoko (100\u2013120 tis. USD), ale riziko korekce je extr\u00e9mn\u00ed<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

      Bitcoin op\u011bt za\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 nap\u011bt\u00ed, kter\u00e9 by mohlo p\u0159er\u016fst v explozi \u2013 p\u0159es 310 000 BTC v otev\u0159en\u00fdch futures pozic\u00edch a prudce rostouc\u00ed financov\u00e1n\u00ed deriv\u00e1t\u016f nazna\u010duj\u00ed, \u017ee trh se p\u0159ipravuje na agresivn\u00ed pohyb do konce roku. Trh s deriv\u00e1ty v\u0159e: Perpetu\u00e1ln\u00ed kontrakty rostou, n\u00e1klady financov\u00e1n\u00ed zdvojn\u00e1sobeny Podle Glassnode vzrostl perpetual open interest (OI) z 304 000 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":59,"featured_media":9951,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[20,85,611,610,618],"coin_category":[380,262,294,290,289,275,263,672,276,256,278,320,699,614,612,282,371,485,613,313,490,584,287,376],"class_list":["post-9949","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nove","tag-bitcoin","tag-btc","tag-futures","tag-opce","tag-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin na pokraji r\u016fstov\u00e9 exploze? 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Dlouhodob\u011b se v\u011bnuje novink\u00e1m ze sv\u011bta digit\u00e1ln\u00edch aktiv, decentralizovan\u00fdch financ\u00ed (DeFi) a regulac\u00ed kryptotrhu. Ve sv\u00fdch \u010dl\u00e1nc\u00edch se zam\u011b\u0159uje na srozumiteln\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed slo\u017eit\u00fdch koncept\u016f, anal\u00fdzu trend\u016f a praktick\u00e9 rady pro investory i b\u011b\u017en\u00e9 u\u017eivatele kryptom\u011bn. M\u00e1 zku\u0161enosti s tradingem a dlouhodob\u00fdm dr\u017een\u00edm kryptom\u011bn a pravideln\u011b sleduje v\u00fdvoj bitcoinu, etherea a dal\u0161\u00edch altcoin\u016f.\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/cryptodnes.bg\\\/cz\\\/author\\\/petrnovotny\\\/\"}]}<\/script>\n<!-- \/ Yoast SEO plugin. -->","yoast_head_json":{"title":"Bitcoin na pokraji r\u016fstov\u00e9 exploze? 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