{"id":10263,"date":"2026-02-13T08:03:18","date_gmt":"2026-02-13T06:03:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/cz\/?p=10263"},"modified":"2026-02-10T16:06:47","modified_gmt":"2026-02-10T14:06:47","slug":"klesne-solana-az-na-50-usd-kryptomena-je-v-ucebnicovem-medvedim-trendu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/cz\/klesne-solana-az-na-50-usd-kryptomena-je-v-ucebnicovem-medvedim-trendu\/","title":{"rendered":"Klesne Solana a\u017e na 50 USD? Kryptom\u011bna je v u\u010debnicov\u00e9m medv\u011bd\u00edm trendu"},"content":{"rendered":"

Solana<\/strong> se za posledn\u00edch 30 dn\u00ed propadla p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 38 procent<\/strong> a v p\u00e1tek spadla na dvoulet\u00e9 minimum kolem 67 dolar\u016f. To je typ pohybu, kter\u00fd u\u017e nep\u016fsob\u00ed jako b\u011b\u017en\u00e1 korekce, ale jako trh ve f\u00e1zi, kdy se z optimismu st\u00e1v\u00e1 obrann\u00fd reflex. A pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nahlas mluvit o tom, \u017ee pokles je\u0161t\u011b nemus\u00ed b\u00fdt u konce a \u017ee c\u00edle mohou m\u00ed\u0159it nejen k 50 dolar\u016fm, ale v nejtvrd\u0161\u00edch sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159\u00edch i k 30 dolar\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Od vrcholu v lednu 2025 je SOL n\u00ed\u017e o 72 procent<\/h2>\n

Od cyklick\u00e9ho vrcholu okolo 295 dolar\u016f v lednu 2025 u\u017e Solana ztratila p\u0159es 72 procent hodnoty. To je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 \u010d\u00edslo, proto\u017ee ukazuje, \u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd propad nen\u00ed kr\u00e1tk\u00e1 epizoda, ale dlouh\u00fd trend. \u010c\u00edm d\u00e9le trh kles\u00e1, t\u00edm v\u00edc roste \u0161ance, \u017ee se za\u010dne chovat podle klasick\u00fdch medv\u011bd\u00edch vzorc\u016f, kter\u00e9 maj\u00ed tendenci kon\u010dit bu\u010f kapitulac\u00ed, nebo dlouh\u00fdm, \u00fanavn\u00fdm dnem.<\/p>\n

\"Od
Od lednov\u00e9ho vrcholu z roku 2025 je SOL n\u00ed\u017e o 72 procent na 70 USD<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Formace hlava a ramena se potvrdila, c\u00edl ceny Solana se r\u00fdsuje na 50 dolarech<\/h2>\n

Na v\u00edce \u010dasov\u00fdch r\u00e1mc\u00edch se podle analytik\u016f potvrdila formace hlava a ramena, kter\u00e1 pat\u0159\u00ed mezi nejzn\u00e1m\u011bj\u0161\u00ed obratov\u00e9 medv\u011bd\u00ed struktury. V pond\u011bl\u00ed jeden z koment\u00e1tor\u016f upozornil, \u017ee Solana dokon\u010dila pr\u016fraz z makro verze t\u00e9to formace a \u017ee c\u00edlov\u00e1 oblast m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt a\u017e kolem 50 dolar\u016f.<\/p>\n

Dal\u0161\u00ed pohled pracuje s dvout\u00fddenn\u00edm grafem a mluv\u00ed o m\u011b\u0159en\u00e9m pohybu p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b k 45 dolar\u016fm<\/strong>. A je\u0161t\u011b tvrd\u0161\u00ed interpretace na m\u011bs\u00ed\u010dn\u00edm grafu za zhruba dva roky nazna\u010duje, \u017ee pod sou\u010dasn\u00fdmi \u00farovn\u011bmi m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt dlouh\u00fd \u00fasek bez v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 podpory a\u017e k 30 dolar\u016fm. To u\u017e nen\u00ed drobn\u00e1 korekce, to je sc\u00e9n\u00e1\u0159, kter\u00fd by zm\u011bnil n\u00e1ladu v cel\u00e9m altcoinov\u00e9m prostoru.<\/p>\n

\"Medv\u011bd\u00ed
Medv\u011bd\u00ed pattern hlava a ramena dovedly cenu Solana a\u017e na 70 USD<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Pr\u016fraz neckline patternu na 120 dolarech a matematika poklesu k 57<\/h2>\n

Zaj\u00edmav\u00fd detail p\u0159in\u00e1\u0161\u00ed i dvoudenn\u00ed graf, kde cena prolomila takzvan\u00fd krk formace na 120 dolarech 30. ledna. Z t\u00e9to konstrukce vych\u00e1z\u00ed i dal\u0161\u00ed c\u00edl, kter\u00fd se vypo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1v\u00e1 podle v\u00fd\u0161ky hlavy a n\u00e1sledn\u00e9ho pohybu po pr\u016frazu. V\u00fdsledkem je \u00farove\u0148 kolem 57 dolar\u016f<\/strong>, co\u017e v dob\u011b v\u00fdpo\u010dtu odpov\u00eddalo zhruba 32procentn\u00edmu poklesu z tehdej\u0161\u00ed ceny.<\/p>\n

<\/p>\n

Tahle hranice je pro trh nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e1 pr\u00e1v\u011b t\u00edm, \u017ee je racion\u00e1ln\u00ed. Nepracuje se zde s emoc\u00ed, ale s \u010distou geometri\u00ed cenov\u00e9ho pohybu. A kdy\u017e se technick\u00fd c\u00edl za\u010dne p\u0159ekr\u00fdvat s psychologick\u00fdmi \u00farovn\u011bmi, b\u00fdv\u00e1 to kombinace, kter\u00e1 um\u00ed p\u0159it\u00e1hnout dal\u0161\u00ed prodejce.<\/p>\n

MVRV p\u00e1sma d\u00e1vaj\u00ed nad\u011bji, ale 75 dolar\u016f je bod zlomu<\/h2>\n

Vedle medv\u011bd\u00edho patternu existuje i sign\u00e1l, kter\u00fd p\u016fsob\u00ed sm\u00ed\u0159liv\u011bji. Propad z minul\u00e9ho t\u00fddne se m\u011bl zastavit na spodn\u00ed hran\u011b extr\u00e9mn\u00edch devia\u010dn\u00edch p\u00e1sem MVRV<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 aktu\u00e1ln\u011b vych\u00e1z\u00ed zhruba na 75 dolar\u016f<\/strong>. Tato p\u00e1sma sleduj\u00ed, zda se cena pohybuje nad nebo pod pr\u016fm\u011brnou \u00farovn\u00ed, na kter\u00e9 investo\u0159i naposledy p\u0159esouvali sv\u00e9 mince, a historicky um\u00ed nazna\u010dit, kdy je trh extr\u00e9mn\u011b levn\u00fd v\u016f\u010di onchain n\u00e1klad\u016fm.<\/p>\n

Jen\u017ee i tady je h\u00e1\u010dek. V minulosti cena \u010dasto klesla a\u017e k t\u00e9to spodn\u00ed hran\u011b, n\u011bkdy i pod ni, a teprve potom se vytvo\u0159ilo dno. V b\u0159eznu 2022 nap\u0159\u00edklad Solana po otestov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u00e1sma kolem 75 dolar\u016f vyrostla b\u011bhem t\u0159\u00ed t\u00fddn\u016f o 87 procent a\u017e k 140 dolar\u016fm. Podobn\u00fd odraz se zmi\u0148uje i v prosinci 2020.<\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b stoj\u00ed temn\u00e1 p\u0159ipom\u00ednka roku 2022. V listopadu, kdy se trh ot\u0159\u00e1sl kolapsem FTX a Solana byla s t\u00edmto p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhem siln\u011b spojovan\u00e1, do\u0161lo k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu propadu pod toto p\u00e1smo. Cena pak spadla je\u0161t\u011b o dal\u0161\u00edch 70 procent a dno se objevilo a\u017e kolem 7 dolar\u016f v prosinci t\u00e9ho\u017e roku. To je d\u016fvod, pro\u010d hranice 75 dolar\u016f nen\u00ed jen podpora, ale test d\u016fv\u011bry.<\/p>\n

Co z toho plyne: dno m\u016f\u017ee vznikat, ale stejn\u011b tak m\u016f\u017ee p\u0159ij\u00edt dal\u0161\u00ed f\u00e1ze poklesu<\/h2>\n

Solana m\u00e1 dnes dva sou\u010dasn\u011b platn\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy. Prvn\u00ed je technick\u00fd a tvrd\u00fd. Potvrzen\u00e1 formace hlava a ramena na v\u00edce grafech ukazuje na 57 dolar\u016f a \u010d\u00e1st trhu mluv\u00ed o 50, p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b i o 45 a 30 dolarech. Druh\u00fd p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh je onchain a opatrn\u011b nad\u011bjn\u00fd. Spodn\u00ed MVRV p\u00e1smo kolem 75 dolar\u016f v minulosti n\u011bkdy fungovalo jako z\u00f3na obratu.<\/p>\n

Lehce \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed je, \u017ee oba p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhy se mohou odehr\u00e1t postupn\u011b. Trh klidn\u011b m\u016f\u017ee kr\u00e1tce stabilizovat u p\u00e1sma MVRV, a p\u0159esto pozd\u011bji sklouznout n\u00ed\u017e, pokud se zlom\u00ed podpora a medv\u011bd\u00ed struktura si vy\u017e\u00e1d\u00e1 sv\u016fj c\u00edlov\u00fd pohyb. V takov\u00e9 situaci nen\u00ed nejd\u016fle\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ot\u00e1zka, zda je Solana levn\u00e1, ale zda je u\u017e trh p\u0159ipraven\u00fd p\u0159estat prod\u00e1vat.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Solana se za posledn\u00edch 30 dn\u00ed propadla p\u0159ibli\u017en\u011b o 38 procent a v p\u00e1tek spadla na dvoulet\u00e9 minimum kolem 67 dolar\u016f. To je typ pohybu, kter\u00fd u\u017e nep\u016fsob\u00ed jako b\u011b\u017en\u00e1 korekce, ale jako trh ve f\u00e1zi, kdy se z optimismu st\u00e1v\u00e1 obrann\u00fd reflex. A pr\u00e1v\u011b proto se za\u010d\u00edn\u00e1 nahlas mluvit o tom, \u017ee pokles je\u0161t\u011b […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":281,"featured_media":9970,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"no","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[51,619,48,34,63,618],"coin_category":[262,295,258,289,275,263,276,673,256,278,320,269,671,334,688,282,354,265,415,259,300,313,301,694,584,386,287],"class_list":["post-10263","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nove","tag-51","tag-dolar","tag-investori","tag-propad","tag-solana","tag-usd"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nKlesne Solana a\u017e na 50 USD? 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