{"id":10188,"date":"2026-02-03T14:29:53","date_gmt":"2026-02-03T12:29:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/cz\/?p=10188"},"modified":"2026-02-03T14:29:53","modified_gmt":"2026-02-03T12:29:53","slug":"bitcoin-hleda-nejblizsi-cenove-dno-bude-56-000-usd-konec-poklesu","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/cz\/bitcoin-hleda-nejblizsi-cenove-dno-bude-56-000-usd-konec-poklesu\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin hled\u00e1 nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno: Bude 56 000 USD konec poklesu?\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin<\/a> se um\u00ed odrazit i v nejhor\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1lad\u011b. Probl\u00e9m je, \u017ee samotn\u00fd odraz dnes nesta\u010d\u00ed, pokud ho nedoprov\u00e1z\u00ed dobr\u00fd d\u016fvod, kter\u00fd by p\u0159it\u00e1hl nov\u00fd kapit\u00e1l. Podle Alex Thorn z Galaxy Digital m\u016f\u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd downtrend pokra\u010dovat pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee jasn\u00e9 katalyz\u00e1tory r\u016fstu zat\u00edm chyb\u00ed<\/strong>. V takov\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed trh \u010dasto nepad\u00e1 kv\u016fli jedn\u00e9 velk\u00e9 \u0161patn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b, ale kv\u016fli tichu. A ticho b\u00fdv\u00e1 drah\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Dv\u011b hladiny, kter\u00e9 te\u010f zn\u00ed jako varov\u00e1n\u00ed: 70 000 a 56 000 USD<\/h2>\n

Thorn mluv\u00ed o \u201ev\u00fdznamn\u00e9 \u0161anci<\/strong>\u201c, \u017ee b\u011bhem p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edch t\u00fddn\u016f m\u016f\u017ee bitcoin nejprve sklouznout do oblasti okolo 70 000 USD<\/strong>, kterou popisuje jako spodn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st gapu, a a\u017e pot\u00e9 otestovat takzvanou realizovanou cenu 56 000 USD<\/strong>. Realizovan\u00e1 cena je v jeho definici pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00e1 n\u00e1kladov\u00e1 b\u00e1ze v\u0161ech bitcoin\u016f v ob\u011bhu<\/strong>. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, jde o \u00farove\u0148, kde se trh historicky \u010dasto l\u00e1mal, proto\u017ee p\u0159edstavuje pr\u016fm\u011brnou cenu, za kterou cel\u00e1 \u201es\u00ed\u0165\u201c v souhrnu nakupovala.<\/p>\n

Na\u010dasov\u00e1n\u00ed sed\u00ed do nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00e9ho r\u00e1mce: bitcoin sice v pond\u011bl\u00ed vysko\u010dil zhruba o 3 %<\/strong> a obchodoval se t\u011bsn\u011b pod 78 500 USD<\/strong>, ale z\u00e1rove\u0148 z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 o 39 % n\u00ed\u017e<\/strong> ne\u017e jeho historick\u00fd vrchol nad 126 000 USD<\/strong> z po\u010d\u00e1tku \u0159\u00edjna. To nen\u00ed jen statistika do grafu. Je to kontext, kter\u00fd vysv\u011btluje, pro\u010d se ka\u017ed\u00e9 zlep\u0161en\u00ed n\u00e1lady zat\u00edm m\u011bn\u00ed sp\u00ed\u0161 v kr\u00e1tk\u00fd v\u00fddech ne\u017e v n\u00e1vrat trendu.<\/p>\n

Co \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 historie: realizovan\u00e1 cena a 200t\u00fddenn\u00ed pr\u016fm\u011br jako \u201eposledn\u00ed opora\u201c<\/h2>\n

Thorn p\u0159ipom\u00edn\u00e1, \u017ee v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch medv\u011bd\u00edch cyklech bitcoin \u010dasto na dn\u011b kr\u00e1tce obchodoval pod realizovanou cenou, ale n\u00e1sledn\u011b kolem n\u00ed nebo m\u00edrn\u011b pod n\u00ed nach\u00e1zel podporu a postupn\u011b se zvedal. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 zmi\u0148uje je\u0161t\u011b jednu hladinu, kterou dlouhodob\u00ed \u00fa\u010dastn\u00edci sleduj\u00ed skoro ritu\u00e1ln\u011b: 200t\u00fddenn\u00ed klouzav\u00fd pr\u016fm\u011br<\/strong>, jen\u017e se podle n\u011bj aktu\u00e1ln\u011b pohybuje okolo 58 000 USD<\/strong>. Do p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu to zapad\u00e1 i technicky: bitcoin m\u011bl ztratit podporu na 50t\u00fddenn\u00edm pr\u016fm\u011bru u\u017e v listopadu<\/strong>, a pr\u00e1v\u011b kombinace 50W a 200W se v minul\u00fdch cyklech \u010dasto spojovala s oblastmi, kter\u00e9 trh ozna\u010dil za dno.<\/p>\n

\"Pokud
Pokud se historie zopakuje, cenov\u00e9 dno bitcoinu bude kolem 50 000 USD<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n

Tady p\u0159ich\u00e1z\u00ed lehce \u0161okuj\u00edc\u00ed \u010d\u00e1st: tyto hladiny nejsou jen \u201en\u011bjak\u00e9 \u010d\u00e1ry\u201c. Pro velkou \u010d\u00e1st trhu jsou to \u00farovn\u011b, kde se p\u0159ep\u00edn\u00e1 chov\u00e1n\u00ed. Nad nimi se \u010dek\u00e1 na r\u016fst. Pod nimi se za\u010dne po\u010d\u00edtat, kdo je\u0161t\u011b vydr\u017e\u00ed dr\u017eet a kdo u\u017e mus\u00ed prod\u00e1vat.<\/p>\n

Pro\u010d se r\u016fst rod\u00ed t\u011b\u017eko: zlato, st\u0159\u00edbro a p\u0159\u00edb\u011bh, kter\u00fd bitcoinu chyb\u00ed<\/h2>\n

Thorn z\u00e1rove\u0148 \u0159\u00edk\u00e1, \u017ee narativy bitcoinu moment\u00e1ln\u011b nepracuj\u00ed v jeho prosp\u011bch. Poukazuje na to, \u017ee se bitcoin neobchoduje spole\u010dn\u011b se zlatem a st\u0159\u00edbrem jako sou\u010d\u00e1st \u0161ir\u0161\u00ed \u201edevalva\u010dn\u00ed<\/strong>\u201c s\u00e1zky, tedy obchodu, kter\u00fd by m\u011bl chr\u00e1nit p\u0159ed znehodnocov\u00e1n\u00edm m\u011bn. Kdy\u017e bitcoin v takov\u00e9 chv\u00edli \u201enedr\u017e\u00ed krok\u201c s kovy, \u010d\u00e1st investor\u016f ztr\u00e1c\u00ed jednoduch\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed, pro\u010d by m\u011bla p\u0159ikupovat pr\u00e1v\u011b te\u010f.<\/p>\n

Do toho p\u0159id\u00e1v\u00e1 dal\u0161\u00ed detail: podle n\u011bj je zat\u00edm m\u00e1lo d\u016fkaz\u016f o v\u00fdrazn\u00e9 akumulaci ze strany velk\u00fdch kupc\u016f a dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f. To m\u016f\u017ee vytv\u00e1\u0159et dojem, \u017ee popt\u00e1vka vy\u010dk\u00e1v\u00e1 na ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ceny. Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b ale zazn\u00edv\u00e1 i n\u00e1znak \u00falevy: realizovan\u00e9 zisky dlouhodob\u00fdch dr\u017eitel\u016f, kter\u00e9 dok\u00e1\u017eou tla\u010dit cenu dol\u016f, podle n\u011bj \u201eznateln\u011b polevuj\u00ed\u201c a pr\u00e1v\u011b to m\u016f\u017ee signalizovat, \u017ee se trh p\u0159ibli\u017euje dnu.<\/p>\n

Regulace jako sp\u00e1sa? Sp\u00ed\u0161 ne, a mo\u017en\u00e1 ani pro bitcoin<\/h2>\n

Jako potenci\u00e1ln\u00ed katalyz\u00e1tor se nab\u00edz\u00ed americk\u00e1 legislativa upravuj\u00edc\u00ed \u201emarket<\/strong> structure<\/strong>\u201c pro krypto. Jen\u017ee Thorn tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee \u0161ance na jej\u00ed p\u0159ijet\u00ed v posledn\u00edch t\u00fddnech klesly, mimo jin\u00e9 kv\u016fli sl\u00e1bnouc\u00ed bipartisansk\u00e9 podpo\u0159e a tomu, \u017ee kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00fd bankovn\u00ed v\u00fdbor zat\u00edm znovu nesvolal jedn\u00e1n\u00ed k posunu n\u00e1vrhu. A i kdyby se to zlomilo, pozitivn\u00ed efekt by podle n\u011bj mohl v\u00edce pomoci altcoin\u016fm ne\u017e samotn\u00e9mu bitcoinu.<\/p>\n

Z t\u00e9to logiky vych\u00e1z\u00ed jednoduch\u00fd, ale nep\u0159\u00edjemn\u00fd z\u00e1v\u011br. Kdy\u017e nejsou jasn\u00e9 katalyz\u00e1tory a popt\u00e1vka je opatrn\u00e1, trh si \u010dasto \u201edosahem\u201c s\u00e1hne na hladiny, kter\u00e9 d\u0159\u00edv fungovaly jako cyklick\u00e9 dno. V Thornov\u011b map\u011b jsou to zejm\u00e9na oblast okolo 70 000 USD<\/strong> a realizovan\u00e1 cena 56 000 USD<\/strong>, s 200t\u00fddenn\u00edm pr\u016fm\u011brem kolem 58 000 USD<\/strong> jako dal\u0161\u00ed kl\u00ed\u010dovou referenc\u00ed. Neznamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee se to mus\u00ed st\u00e1t. Znamen\u00e1 to, \u017ee bez nov\u00e9ho p\u0159\u00edb\u011bhu m\u016f\u017ee b\u00fdt gravitace siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e optimismus.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Bitcoin se um\u00ed odrazit i v nejhor\u0161\u00ed n\u00e1lad\u011b. Probl\u00e9m je, \u017ee samotn\u00fd odraz dnes nesta\u010d\u00ed, pokud ho nedoprov\u00e1z\u00ed dobr\u00fd d\u016fvod, kter\u00fd by p\u0159it\u00e1hl nov\u00fd kapit\u00e1l. Podle Alex Thorn z Galaxy Digital m\u016f\u017ee sou\u010dasn\u00fd downtrend pokra\u010dovat pr\u00e1v\u011b proto, \u017ee jasn\u00e9 katalyz\u00e1tory r\u016fstu zat\u00edm chyb\u00ed. V takov\u00e9m prost\u0159ed\u00ed trh \u010dasto nepad\u00e1 kv\u016fli jedn\u00e9 velk\u00e9 \u0161patn\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b, ale […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":61,"featured_media":9945,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"_lmt_disableupdate":"no","_lmt_disable":"no","footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[20,52,618,22],"coin_category":[662,262,316,295,294,397,290,258,292,289,256,277,278,604,297,369,264,544,688,415,259,260,584,287],"class_list":["post-10188","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nove","tag-bitcoin","tag-regulace","tag-usd","tag-zlato"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nBitcoin hled\u00e1 nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno: Bude 56 000 USD konec poklesu?\u00a0 - CryptoDnes Czech<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/cryptodnes.bg\/cz\/bitcoin-hleda-nejblizsi-cenove-dno-bude-56-000-usd-konec-poklesu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"cs_CZ\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin hled\u00e1 nejbli\u017e\u0161\u00ed cenov\u00e9 dno: Bude 56 000 USD konec poklesu?\u00a0 - 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Investuje v\u0161ak do cel\u00e9 \u0161k\u00e1ly aktiv. M\u00e1 technicko-ekonomick\u00e9 vzd\u011bl\u00e1n\u00ed \u00fasp\u011b\u0161n\u011b ukon\u010den\u00e9 na vysok\u00e9 \u0161kole. 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